Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Seguin 57.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 83.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 76.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Zibanejad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Zibanejad
Seguin
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
59.6% (736)
-10.7%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
61.5% (65)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
47.6% (124)
-2.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
49.8% (588)
60.1% (461)
Away
48.5% (616)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
47.4%
59.1%
P2
50.7%
58.9%
P3
49.0%
57.3%
OT
55.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |