Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Zibanejad
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
53.2% (201)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
60.0% (25)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
44.4% (9)
+0.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
49.0% (429)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.1% (521)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
53.0%
44.3%
P2
51.1%
52.1%
P3
51.0%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%