Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 65.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Zibanejad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Zibanejad
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Zibanejad
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zibanejad
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
56.9% (478)
-6.0%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
57.4% (54)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
51.3% (76)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
51.1% (536)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.6% (576)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
47.3%
60.4%
P3
50.7%
58.0%
OT
45.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |