Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 82.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 63.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Zibanejad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zibanejad
Seguin
Last 6: Zibanejad 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zibanejad
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
0
Zibanejad
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
55.0% (713)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
56.7% (104)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
47.2% (53)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
49.0% (681)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.9% (717)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
49.9%
54.2%
P2
47.6%
52.9%
P3
51.1%
57.1%
OT
48.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |