Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Backlund 50.8% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 77.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Newhook
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Newhook
Backlund
Last 5: Newhook 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
51.9% (1,083)
-10.1%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
51.7% (120)
-15.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Newhook
Backlund
Home
42.4% (236)
51.9% (673)
Away
40.4% (267)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Newhook
Backlund
P1
42.9%
51.4%
P2
38.5%
50.5%
P3
43.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
36.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |