Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Backlund 50.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 62.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lazar
Backlund
Last 7: Lazar 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Lazar
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
51.5% (983)
-0.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.4% (87)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
45.3% (159)
-7.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backlund
Home
43.5% (131)
51.6% (653)
Away
53.7% (147)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Lazar
Backlund
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
50.5%
49.8%
P3
41.2%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |