Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Backlund 47.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 80.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Grant
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Grant
Backlund
Last 9: Grant 3-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
5
Grant
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Grant
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
47.3% (630)
+4.4%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
48.5% (66)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
46.3% (82)
+1.2%
On power play, Grant has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Grant shoots left. Backlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Grant
Backlund
Home
54.8% (334)
50.4% (347)
Away
48.6% (360)
44.8% (431)
By Period
Grant
Backlund
P1
54.7%
46.7%
P2
46.1%
44.9%
P3
54.2%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Derek Grant |