Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 44.7% vs Backlund 50.5% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 50.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
O'Connor
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
O'Connor
Backlund
Last 5: O'Connor 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
2
0
O'Connor
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
O'Connor
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (45)
51.5% (983)
-15.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.4% (87)
-20.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. O'Connor is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
O'Connor shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Backlund
Home
36.8% (38)
51.6% (653)
Away
28.6% (14)
49.3% (576)
By Period
O'Connor
Backlund
P1
40.0%
50.0%
P2
23.5%
49.8%
P3
40.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
34.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |