Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Rodrigues
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rodrigues
Backlund
Last 9: Rodrigues 5-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
2
Rodrigues
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Rodrigues
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.5% (983)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
49.4% (87)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
45.3% (159)
-3.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
49.8% (215)
51.6% (653)
Away
44.4% (171)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
44.2%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
49.8%
P3
44.6%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 02:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 01:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |