Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Backlund 46.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 95.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Carter
Backlund
Last 10: Carter 9-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
2
Carter
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
8
2
Carter
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
45.9% (410)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
42.9% (56)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
52.3% (421)
49.3% (217)
Away
49.0% (353)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
55.4%
44.0%
P2
49.1%
49.4%
P3
47.6%
42.8%
OT
58.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2011 | OT | 00:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |