Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Backlund 48.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 84.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Backlund
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
47.3% (357)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
55.0% (40)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
30.0% (10)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
56.4% (181)
45.0% (211)
Away
49.3% (203)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
56.6%
47.6%
P2
54.0%
53.0%
P3
47.2%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |