Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Carter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Backlund 50.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 74.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Carter
Backlund
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
3
Carter
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Carter
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Carter
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
51.1% (1,070)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
50.5% (91)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
45.2% (248)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
58.9% (285)
49.3% (702)
Away
47.8% (113)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
54.9%
46.3%
P2
57.5%
53.8%
P3
56.0%
49.9%
OT
25.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |