Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Backlund 48.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
50.4% (1,032)
+2.4%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
52.3% (107)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
40.6% (313)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Home
52.5% (366)
48.7% (749)
Away
51.0% (343)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
P1
53.8%
50.4%
P2
49.2%
50.1%
P3
52.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |