Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 69.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 59.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Veleno
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Veleno
Backlund
Last 7: Veleno 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Veleno
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Veleno
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Veleno
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
51.0% (1,205)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
59.3% (108)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
42.3% (234)
+2.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Veleno
Backlund
Home
48.8% (289)
51.2% (782)
Away
49.2% (333)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Veleno
Backlund
P1
46.1%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
49.8%
P3
49.7%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |