Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.4% vs Backlund 50.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 66.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 59.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 66.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Beniers
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beniers
Backlund
Last 5: Beniers 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Beniers
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Beniers
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (89)
51.5% (983)
-9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
49.4% (87)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.3% (159)
-45.3%
On power play, Beniers has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beniers is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Beniers shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Beniers
Backlund
Home
62.2% (45)
51.6% (653)
Away
23.4% (47)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Beniers
Backlund
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
25.0%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |