Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.4%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Bonino 51.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Backlund
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Backlund
Bonino
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Backlund
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
6
Backlund
Bonino
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
51.7% (777)
-0.2%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
60.0% (50)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
43.9% (98)
+1.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bonino
Home
51.6% (653)
48.2% (461)
Away
49.3% (576)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Backlund
Bonino
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
49.8%
49.7%
P3
51.7%
50.7%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |