Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Bonino 50.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Backlund
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Backlund
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
51.8% (305)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
48.5% (101)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bonino
Home
51.2% (782)
53.1% (177)
Away
49.4% (765)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Backlund
Bonino
P1
51.5%
55.9%
P2
49.8%
49.6%
P3
49.9%
47.6%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |