Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Bonino 48.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 72.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 65.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Backlund
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Bonino
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Backlund
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
48.1% (324)
+3.8%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
57.9% (38)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
44.3% (88)
+0.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bonino
Home
51.9% (673)
52.0% (244)
Away
49.9% (713)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Backlund
Bonino
P1
51.4%
48.0%
P2
50.5%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
35.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |