Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Foligno 48.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Backlund
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Backlund
Foligno
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Backlund
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Backlund
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
47.1% (227)
+3.0%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
46.7% (15)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
52.4% (21)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Backlund shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Backlund
Foligno
Home
51.0% (396)
45.7% (116)
Away
46.1% (479)
49.0% (147)
By Period
Backlund
Foligno
P1
43.9%
53.8%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
40.4%
OT
12.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |