Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Foligno 52.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Backlund
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
52.0% (50)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
66.7% (21)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
0.0% (1)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Backlund
Foligno
Home
51.9% (673)
51.2% (41)
Away
49.9% (713)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Backlund
Foligno
P1
51.4%
55.6%
P2
50.5%
48.0%
P3
51.4%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |