Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Foligno 51.8% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Backlund
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
58.1% (31)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
50.0% (2)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
50.0% (6)
-4.7%
On even strength, Foligno has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Backlund
Foligno
Home
51.6% (653)
56.3% (16)
Away
49.3% (576)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Backlund
Foligno
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
66.7%
P3
51.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%