Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.4%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Backlund
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Backlund
Foligno
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Backlund
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
1
Backlund
Foligno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
48.7% (495)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
56.9% (65)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
43.8% (144)
-3.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Backlund
Foligno
Home
48.7% (749)
49.6% (359)
Away
48.1% (703)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Backlund
Foligno
P1
50.4%
46.7%
P2
50.1%
52.7%
P3
45.8%
46.7%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |