Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Backlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backlund
Schmaltz
Last 7: Backlund 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Backlund
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
29.6% (253)
+17.7%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
50.0% (18)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
0.0% (1)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Backlund is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Backlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Backlund
Schmaltz
Home
49.1% (768)
33.1% (139)
Away
47.0% (711)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Backlund
Schmaltz
P1
46.8%
28.8%
P2
47.5%
31.7%
P3
49.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2016 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 24, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |