Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Backlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Schmaltz
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Backlund
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
42.9% (133)
+8.6%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
55.1% (89)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
47.1% (17)
-1.8%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Backlund
Schmaltz
Home
51.6% (653)
41.6% (125)
Away
49.3% (576)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Backlund
Schmaltz
P1
50.0%
40.0%
P2
49.8%
59.5%
P3
51.7%
45.0%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |