Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 83.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Backlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Backlund
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Backlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
48.1% (268)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
50.5% (91)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
58.8% (17)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Backlund
Schmaltz
Home
48.7% (749)
49.0% (206)
Away
48.1% (703)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Backlund
Schmaltz
P1
50.4%
53.6%
P2
50.1%
46.2%
P3
45.8%
50.4%
OT
30.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |