Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Acciari 51.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 50.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Backlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Backlund
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Backlund
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
53.0% (285)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
31.3% (16)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
50.8% (183)
-3.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Backlund
Acciari
Home
48.1% (580)
53.2% (267)
Away
51.1% (653)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Backlund
Acciari
P1
45.1%
53.1%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
50.6%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |