Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Acciari 53.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 64.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Backlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Acciari
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
56.7% (393)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
33.3% (3)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
48.0% (202)
-7.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Backlund
Acciari
Home
48.7% (749)
54.5% (279)
Away
48.1% (703)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Backlund
Acciari
P1
50.4%
56.9%
P2
50.1%
51.4%
P3
45.8%
53.2%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |