Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Acciari 53.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 65.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 56.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Backlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Backlund
Acciari
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Backlund
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
5
Backlund
Acciari
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
54.5% (532)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
62.5% (8)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
48.8% (86)
-4.5%
On power play, Acciari has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Backlund
Acciari
Home
51.9% (673)
56.2% (281)
Away
49.9% (713)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Backlund
Acciari
P1
51.4%
53.4%
P2
50.5%
57.1%
P3
51.4%
51.4%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |