Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Acciari 53.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Backlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
55.6% (426)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
0.0% (2)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
52.1% (146)
-9.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Backlund
Acciari
Home
51.2% (782)
55.2% (306)
Away
49.4% (765)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Backlund
Acciari
P1
51.5%
55.5%
P2
49.8%
54.3%
P3
49.9%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |