Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Brown 56.8% (-8.0%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 79.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 62.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Backlund
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
61.3% (336)
-9.8%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
50.0% (4)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
45.9% (74)
-0.6%
On even strength, Brown has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Backlund
Brown
Home
51.6% (653)
61.1% (180)
Away
49.3% (576)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Backlund
Brown
P1
50.0%
57.5%
P2
49.8%
58.5%
P3
51.7%
59.2%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%