Mikael Backlund vs Patrick Brown
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Brown 54.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 65.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 68.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 59.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backlund
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Brown
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Backlund
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
56.5% (726)
-6.8%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
62.5% (8)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
47.8% (136)
-3.8%
On power play, Brown has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Backlund
Brown
Home
49.7% (8,565)
57.4% (364)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Backlund
Brown
P1
48.5%
51.4%
P2
50.3%
54.6%
P3
48.4%
58.8%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |