Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Brown 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 62.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 51.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Backlund
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Brown
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Backlund
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
52.8% (284)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
75.0% (4)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
49.0% (51)
-4.7%
On power play, Brown has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Backlund
Brown
Home
51.9% (673)
53.5% (144)
Away
49.9% (713)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Backlund
Brown
P1
51.4%
49.0%
P2
50.5%
48.7%
P3
51.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |