Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Greig 50.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 51.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Backlund
Greig
Last 8: Backlund 0-8 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
6
Backlund
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Backlund
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
51.5% (336)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
66.7% (24)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
43.2% (81)
+4.6%
On power play, Greig has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
48.1% (580)
50.2% (247)
Away
51.1% (653)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
45.1%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
58.8%
P3
49.0%
48.3%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |