Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Greig 45.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
45.2% (414)
+5.8%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
28.6% (14)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
28.6% (21)
+13.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
51.2% (782)
46.4% (196)
Away
49.4% (765)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
51.5%
40.8%
P2
49.8%
46.4%
P3
49.9%
43.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |