Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Greig 44.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
38.8% (103)
+13.1%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
60.0% (5)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
0.0% (1)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
51.9% (673)
37.7% (53)
Away
49.9% (713)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
51.4%
41.7%
P2
50.5%
39.3%
P3
51.4%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |