Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Greig 48.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 56.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 54.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Backlund
Greig
Last 10: Backlund 1-9 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
6
Backlund
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
3
Backlund
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
48.5% (1,133)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
56.8% (74)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
46.5% (172)
-2.5%
On power play, Greig has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
49.7% (8,565)
49.8% (681)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
48.5%
46.3%
P2
50.3%
51.2%
P3
48.4%
48.8%
OT
44.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |