Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Colton 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 56.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Backlund
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Backlund
Colton
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Backlund
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
2
5
Backlund
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
51.6% (1,800)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
48.8% (162)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
34.5% (29)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Backlund
Colton
Home
49.7% (8,565)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Backlund
Colton
P1
48.5%
53.5%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
44.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |