Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Colton 54.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Backlund
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Colton
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Backlund
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Backlund
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
56.1% (173)
-4.2%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
56.3% (16)
-4.6%
On power play, Colton has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Backlund
Colton
Home
51.9% (673)
55.3% (94)
Away
49.9% (713)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Backlund
Colton
P1
51.4%
48.1%
P2
50.5%
62.5%
P3
51.4%
57.1%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |