Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 53.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Backlund
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backlund
Colton
Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Backlund
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Backlund
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
52.1% (741)
-1.1%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
48.3% (60)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
42.1% (19)
+0.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Backlund
Colton
Home
51.2% (782)
54.0% (411)
Away
49.4% (765)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Backlund
Colton
P1
51.5%
56.7%
P2
49.8%
53.1%
P3
49.9%
46.3%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |