Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Colton 45.2% (+8.2%)
Offensive zone
Colton 74.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Backlund
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
41.3% (75)
+9.1%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
35.3% (17)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
40.0% (5)
+0.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Backlund
Colton
Home
48.7% (749)
42.9% (49)
Away
48.1% (703)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Backlund
Colton
P1
50.4%
48.9%
P2
50.1%
33.3%
P3
45.8%
31.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%