Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 46.1% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 82.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Backlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Backlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Backlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Backlund
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
52.5% (1,177)
-6.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
54.6% (130)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
52.8% (108)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Backlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Backlund
O'Reilly
Home
49.3% (217)
54.9% (669)
Away
42.3% (279)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Backlund
O'Reilly
P1
44.0%
52.4%
P2
49.4%
56.1%
P3
42.8%
49.8%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |