Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 80.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 78.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Backlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Backlund
O'Reilly
Last 9: Backlund 0-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Backlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Backlund
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Backlund
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
57.9% (1,179)
-10.6%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
63.0% (292)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
53.8% (320)
-9.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Backlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Backlund
O'Reilly
Home
49.1% (768)
61.3% (884)
Away
47.0% (711)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Backlund
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
55.5%
P2
47.5%
61.0%
P3
49.3%
56.8%
OT
59.3%
67.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |