Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 40-34 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Backlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
34
(74 meetings)
40
34
Backlund
Strome
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
9
17
Backlund
Strome
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
26
5
Backlund
Strome
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
12
Backlund
Strome
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
44.1% (6,839)
+5.6%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
49.3% (854)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
41.5% (410)
+2.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Backlund
Strome
Home
49.7% (8,565)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Backlund
Strome
P1
48.5%
44.0%
P2
50.3%
45.3%
P3
48.4%
44.3%
OT
44.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |