Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Strome 42.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 90.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Backlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Backlund
Strome
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Backlund
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
2
Backlund
Strome
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
41.2% (1,040)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
43.0% (151)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
51.4% (35)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Backlund
Strome
Home
48.7% (749)
40.1% (581)
Away
48.1% (703)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Backlund
Strome
P1
50.4%
41.4%
P2
50.1%
42.9%
P3
45.8%
40.5%
OT
30.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |