Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Strome 44.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 70.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 77.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Backlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backlund
Strome
Last 9: Backlund 6-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
43.0% (788)
+8.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
47.9% (96)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
50.0% (34)
-5.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Backlund
Strome
Home
51.9% (673)
42.6% (486)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Backlund
Strome
P1
51.4%
41.0%
P2
50.5%
47.8%
P3
51.4%
42.1%
OT
35.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |