Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Backlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Backlund
Strome
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Backlund
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Backlund
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
46.4% (371)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
43.3% (97)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
55.6% (18)
-13.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Backlund
Strome
Home
51.2% (782)
47.6% (225)
Away
49.4% (765)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Backlund
Strome
P1
51.5%
45.4%
P2
49.8%
47.6%
P3
49.9%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |