Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 36-28 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 74.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Backlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
28
(64 meetings)
36
28
Backlund
Gagner
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
17
14
Backlund
Gagner
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
4
Backlund
Gagner
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
9
10
Backlund
Gagner
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.3%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
51.5% (928)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
35.0% (226)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gagner
Home
49.7% (8,565)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Backlund
Gagner
P1
48.5%
44.6%
P2
50.3%
46.1%
P3
48.4%
47.3%
OT
44.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |