Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 66.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Backlund
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
76.5% (17)
-25.5%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
28.6% (7)
+30.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gagner
Home
51.2% (782)
75.0% (16)
Away
49.4% (765)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Backlund
Gagner
P1
51.5%
25.0%
P2
49.8%
64.3%
P3
49.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%