Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Gagner 47.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 84.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Backlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Backlund
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
51.3% (158)
+0.2%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
66.7% (36)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
33.6% (110)
+11.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gagner
Home
51.6% (653)
53.2% (154)
Away
49.3% (576)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Backlund
Gagner
P1
50.0%
35.6%
P2
49.8%
52.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |