Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Gagner 43.8% (+20.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 74.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Backlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
31.0% (29)
+20.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
29.4% (17)
+22.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gagner
Home
51.9% (673)
36.8% (19)
Away
49.9% (713)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Backlund
Gagner
P1
51.4%
27.8%
P2
50.5%
15.4%
P3
51.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |